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Bank of America предсказал рост на нефть самыми быстрыми темпами с 1970-ых

Economics

Цена на нефть марки Brent на протяжении следующих трех лет будет расти самыми быстрыми темпами с 1970-х годов и может достичь $100 за баррель, сообщает The National со ссылкой на аналитический отчет Bank of America. В нем прогнозируется, что в среднесрочной перспективе — в период до 2026 года — цена Brent в среднем составит от $50 до $70 за баррель.

Аналитики банка указывают, что возобновление мирового экспорта и промышленного производства дают основания полагать, что спрос на нефть будет восстанавливаться быстрее, чем прогнозировалось ранее. Улучшение фундаментальных показателей спроса и предложения нефти, беспрецедентные глобальные фискальные и монетарные стимулы и укрепление экономики Китая, крупнейшего в мире импортера сырьевых товаров, свидетельствуют о более широком восстановлении цен на сырую нефть, отмечают аналитики. На возможность возвращения цены на Brent к $100 за баррель со ссылкой на тот же аналитический отчет Bank of America пишет и Bloomberg.

Bank of America также изменил прогноз цен на 2021 год, отмечает Reuters. Банк ожидает, что стоимость нефти Brent в этом году в среднем составит $60 за баррель, что выше предыдущего прогноза в $50. При этом аналитики банка прогнозируют рост цены на нефть марки WTI в среднем до $57 за баррель в этом году. Цены на Brent могут временно подскочить до $70 за баррель во втором квартале 2021 года, отмечают аналитики. Brent и WTI за последний месяц подорожали на 18,6% и 18% соответственно. Под маркой Brent торгуется две трети мировой нефти, передает Forbes.

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